Royal en "femme battue"... par Sarkozy


La passionaria de la cause des "femmes battues" va l'être à son tour... à plates coutures dimanche par Sarkozy. Les derniers sondages ne lui laissent plus l'ombre d'une chance. Sa piètre prestation lors du débat du 2 mai, et ses déclarations incendiaires prédisant un embrasement des banlieues en cas de victoire de son concurrent, ont révélé sa vraie nature, peu recommandable et moins encore présidentiable.

Sondage Ipsos/Dell réalisé le 4 mai
Nicolas Sarkozy l'emporterait sur Ségolène Royal au second tour de l'élection présidentielle avec 55% (+1) des voix contre 45% (-1) pour la candidate socialiste, selon la 56e et dernière vague de l'enquête quotidienne Ipsos/Dell publiée vendredi. C'est le 29è sondage (sur 29) réalisé depuis l'annonce des résultats du premier tour, donnant M. Sarkozy vainqueur. C'est le deuxième sondage qui donne 55% au candidat UMP. Et c'est la première fois qu'il atteint ce niveau dans l'enquête quotidienne d'Ipsos, lancée début mars.Selon Ipsos, la participation au scrutin de dimanche pourrait de nouveau être très importante. 84% des personnes interrogées se sont dites certaines d'aller voter.91% (+2) affirment que leur choix pour le second tour est définitif : 89% (-2) pour les électeurs de Ségolène Royal, 93% (+5) pour ceux de Nicolas Sarkozy. 16% des personnes certaines d'aller voter n'ont pas exprimé d'intention de vote.Sur 100 électeurs de François Bayrou au premier tour, 35% (=) se tourneraient vers la candidate PS, et 36 (+1) vers Nicolas Sarkozy, 29% (-1) s'abstenant ou ne s'exprimant pas.Les électeurs de Jean-Marie Le Pen seraient 70% (+12) à choisir Nicolas Sarkozy, et 9% à choisir Mme Royal (-5), 21% (-7) s'abstenant ou ne s'exprimant pas.Les électeurs de la gauche non socialiste (Besancenot, Bové, Buffet, Laguiller, Schivardi, Voynet) seraient 64% à choisir Mme Royal (-2), 21% Nicolas Sarkozy (+8), 15% (-6) s'abstenant ou ne s'exprimant pas.- Sondage réalisé auprès de 922 personnes interrogées par téléphone le 4 mai, constituant un échantillon national représentatif de la population inscrite sur les listes électorales. Méthode des quotas.Ipsos-Dell rappelle que "les résultats des intentions de vote ne constituent pas un élément de prévision du résultat électoral mais donnent une indication significative du rapport de forces actuel. Ils doivent être lus en tenant compte des marges d'incertitude : plus ou moins 3 points pour les candidats".

Sondage BVA pour Orange réalisé le 4 mai
Nicolas Sarkozy battrait dimanche Ségolène Royal par 55% (+3) à 45% (-3), selon un sondage BVA pour Orange rendu public vendredi par BVA. C'est le 28ème sondage réalisé depuis l'annonce des résultats du premier tour donnant M. Sarkozy vainqueur mais le premier qui donne M. Sarkozy à 55%.51% des personnes interrogées estiment que Nicolas Sarkozy a été le plus convaincant lors du débat télévisé Sarkozy-Royal mercredi soir. 29% affirment que c'est Mme Royal, tandis que pour 9% les deux candidats sont arrivés à égalité. 6% jugent qu'aucun des deux n'a été convaincant. 5% ne savent pas.Sur 100 électeurs Bayrou au premier tour, 41,3 se reporteraient sur Mme Royal, 37,7 sur M. Sarkozy. 8,1 voteraient blanc ou nul, 2 s'abstiendraient, 9,2 ne savent pas. 1,6 refusent de répondre.11,4% des électeurs Le Pen se reporteraient sur Mme Royal, 67,7% sur M. Sarkozy. 9,5% voteraient blanc ou nul, 6,6% s'abstiendraient. 4,9% refusent de répondre.La gauche non socialiste se reporterait à 69,5% sur Mme Royal, 16,5% sur M. Sarkozy. 5% voteraient blanc ou nul, 0,6% s'abstiendraient, 7% ne savent pas. 1,4% refusent de répondre.82% des personnes interrogées affirment qu'elles ont déjà décidé pour qui elles allaient voter, 4% qu'elles le feront samedi et 13% qu'elles se décideront dimanche seulement.72% tablent sur une victoire de M. Sarkozy, 16% sur celle de Mme Royal. 12% ne savent pas.50% souhaitent la victoire du candidat UMP, 39% celle de la députée PS. 11% ne savent pas.- Sondage réalisé par téléphone le 4 mai auprès d'un échantillon de 807 personnes inscrites sur les listes électorales, représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus (méthode des quotas).

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